Chapter 10 / 16
Power, Cooling, and Infrastructure
Break power into transformers, switchgear, turbines, interconnection, busways, liquid cooling, and delivery timelines.
1. Onsite / Behind-the-Meter Power
Hypothesis: Data centers will increasingly bring their own generation because utility interconnection timelines are too slow.
Companies to track:
- Bloom Energy: onsite fuel cells for data centers.
- Vistra: power generation, especially where large-load customers need firm power.
- Constellation Energy: nuclear and clean firm power exposure.
- GE Vernova: turbines, grid equipment, electrification.
- Solaris Energy Infrastructure: distributed power and electrical infrastructure for hyperscale sites.
- Crusoe: energy-linked AI infrastructure and compute.
- Lancium: power-aware data center development.
- CoreWeave: not a power supplier, but useful as a demand-side signal for power procurement behavior.
Automation signals:
- New power purchase agreements with hyperscalers.
- Data center deals measured in MW or GW.
- Language like "behind-the-meter", "onsite generation", "time-to-power", "grid interconnection", "firm power".
- FERC, ERCOT, PJM, MISO, CAISO, SPP filings involving large-load interconnection.
2. Electrical Equipment: Transformers, Switchgear, PDUs, Busways
Hypothesis: AI data centers may be bottlenecked less by GPUs than by boring electrical components with multi-year manufacturing lead times.
Companies to track:
- Eaton: power distribution, switchgear, UPS, electrical systems.
- Schneider Electric: data center power, cooling, electrical management.
- Vertiv: power and cooling infrastructure for high-density AI data centers.
- Siemens Energy / Siemens: grid and electrification equipment.
- Powell Industries: electrical equipment for industrial and utility-scale projects.
- Hammond Power Solutions: transformers.
- nVent Electric: electrical connection and protection systems.
- Atkore: electrical raceway and infrastructure.
Automation signals:
- Backlog growth, book-to-bill, lead-time commentary.
- Mentions of transformer shortages, switchgear shortages, busways, PDUs, UPS, medium-voltage gear.
- Capacity expansions in North America.
- Hyperscaler preferred-vendor announcements.
3. High-Density Cooling and Water-Constrained Infrastructure
Hypothesis: Rack density and liquid cooling adoption create new winners in thermal management, especially where water, permitting, or reliability constraints matter.
Companies to track:
- Vertiv: liquid cooling and thermal management.
- Schneider Electric: data center thermal and power systems.
- Modine: thermal management.
- Watts Water Technologies: flow control and water infrastructure.
- Johnson Controls: building systems, chillers, controls.
- Carrier: cooling systems.
- CoolIT Systems: liquid cooling.
- Submer: immersion and liquid cooling.
Automation signals:
- "liquid cooling", "direct-to-chip", "immersion cooling", "high-density rack", "water positive", "heat reuse".
- Partnerships with Nvidia, hyperscalers, colocation providers, and AI cloud providers.
- Cooling capacity constraints in new data center markets.
4. Flexible Load / Grid-Interactive Data Centers
Hypothesis: The next unlock may be data centers that can modulate load, arbitrage power, and coordinate with grid operators.
Companies to track:
- Emerald AI: flexible AI data center load coordination.
- Nvidia: reference architecture and ecosystem influence.
- AES: utility and renewable power partner.
- NextEra Energy: power generation and large-load partnerships.
- Invenergy: power development.
- Constellation Energy: firm power and grid partnerships.
- AutoGrid / Schneider Electric: demand response and grid software.
Automation signals:
- "flexible load", "demand response", "curtailment", "grid-interactive", "load shifting".
- Utility pilots with AI data centers.
- Regulatory language allowing fast interconnection for flexible or self-powered data centers.